AGENDA DATE: 9/3/2025
TITLE:
Title
AC44: 2025 Buildout Analysis Presentation
SUBJECT/PROPOSAL/REQUEST: Present an updated analysis of Development Area capacity using the methodology of the 2022 Land Use Buildout Analysis
ITEM TYPE: Regular Information Item
STAFF CONTACT(S): Filardo, Barnes, Swartzendruber, Holt, Newberry
PRESENTER (S): J.T. Newberry
LEGAL REVIEW: Yes
REVIEWED BY: Jeffrey B. Richardson
BACKGROUND: In early 2022, the AC44 Comprehensive Plan update began with Phase 1, which evaluated the County's existing Growth Management Policy. Part of this evaluation examined if the existing boundaries of the Development Areas could accommodate future residential and non-residential growth over the next 20 years. The 2022 Land Use Buildout Analysis concluded that the existing limits of the Development Areas appeared to provide sufficient capacity to meet projected future demand of residential and non-residential land uses over a 20-year time horizon when considering maximum theoretical buildout (see Attachment A).
However, the 2022 Buildout Analysis also noted several challenges to achieving maximum theoretical buildout due to a variety of different factors (e.g. the cost of land, local and state requirements, the misalignment between the existing zoning map and the future Comprehensive Plan land use designations). To illustrate the magnitude of these challenges, the 2022 Buildout Analysis cited that only 58% of the maximum number of dwelling units recommended by the 2015 Comprehensive Plan were ultimately approved for residential rezoning applications from 2016-2021.
STRATEGIC PLAN: Quality of Life - Encourage a vibrant community with economic and recreational opportunities that serve all community members.
DISCUSSION: Throughout Phases 2 - 4 of the AC44 Comprehensive Plan update, the Board of Supervisors has requested updated information about the capacity of the Development Areas.
In April 2025, staff retained a local planning and en...
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